edible oils conference 8 What'sNewS Issue 9* September 1998 Niche products Cost efficiency Growing efficiency Menage a trois Natural input from Unilever's Harry Jongeneelen food processing. The bean industry, which uses hydrogenation in some of its processes, has responded by experimenting with a genetically modified high oleic soybean that also does not require this treatment. Growing quality and health consciousness are clearly important factors in mature markets, such as Europe and North America. These factors lead to shifts in the type of edible oils consumed. Furthermore, consumers have become more critical with respect to food safety, they demand improved product traceability through the value chain, and at the same time want higher food quality. Many argue this will create an industry environment where demand is decommoditized and realigned, with specific need for a new framework in the future which reflects more realistically the environment in which all three interact. While bulk will continue to play a major role, he is also predicting the evolution of Merging market expertise from Raibobank's Willem Cramer commodity processors into producers of tailored products and services aimed at specific customers; traders, he believes, will have to develop into logistical partners and service organizations; the old-style end users will also undergo a transformation and become customers, clients. In essence, he is describing the decommoditization forecast in FAR's study. According to Heieen Glaudemans, one of the study's authors, increasing decommoditization is also linked to consolidation of the production chain. 'That consolidation,' she said, 'is a direct result of liberalization of trade policies. Ongoing liberalizaton and deregulation will have significant impact on trade flows, including greater trade concentration. Prospects are best for players in regions with a mature industry and where oilseeds are produced in abundance at competitive prices and where crushing costs are low. In many regions, crushing capacity is growing and the trend is towards local Client networking, FAR's Heieen Glaudemans and Yvonne Dom (right) with Brazilian Agro Palma's Harald Brunckhorst evoked questions from the floor (see also page 9 sidebar on crushing). The trend towards dominance of the crushing sector by multinationals prompted a chain from the 1980s through to the next century. In what he described as the industry's menage a trois, the triangle between processors, traders and consumers, he saw the niche products, markets and value chains taking over from bulk. This diversification is linked to rapid developments in biotechnology. As more GMOs are used to achieve specific traits in the end product, the need for separation from conventional outputs will become crucial for offset in some markets - already edible oil tankers are being fitted with separations to carry more finished and semi- finished manufactures. Presentations on origination and production in specific countries, some of which heralded the emergence of processing plants with ever bigger crushing capacity, question on the potential life expectancy of smaller players. In response, Decio Zylbersztain of the University of Sao Paulo, said he believed the industry would see new kinds of partnerships emerging as the industry consolidates in response to changing market circumstances. 'We are more interested in efficiency,' he said, 'rather than worrying about ownership. Especially in Brazil, where we have huge potential, we should see major increases in efficiency following privatization, but we'11 welcome all forms of investment capital - whether the source is national or multinational.' If this shift to bigger and bigger bulk processing plants appears at odds with the concept of boutique and niche production, then speakers like Diego Barbero see no contradication. His presentation analyzed the evolution of the whole oilseeds

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