8 special 1 1 S3 v-n C3 Qj WHAT'S NewS Issue 4 Apn 1998 Singapore's general manager Roelf Hagoort, only too aware of the effect of the crisis loans. The head of Goldman Sachs (Asia) LLC's regional research is predicting a peak of possibly 25 percent in non- performing loans. 'Malaysia is like Thailand in that it hasn't digested all the pain,' comments Roelf Hagoort, Singapore's general manager. 'We have no problem yet in Malaysia, but we have to be very, very cautious there. We expect Malaysian banks to get into difficulty. A lot of their customers are borrowing secured by property whose value has dropped by more than 50 percent.' GREY AREA With Klaas-Evert, our people in the regional office at Singapore are watching developments in Malaysia carefully but there is not a Thailand Malaysia Indonesia dedicated work out team in place for that country. 'We have set up two teams,' says Ban Aik. 'One for Thailand, the other for Indonesia. Both comprise a negotiator, an analyst and legal counsel. We've put top people to work in these teams - Seen Tiat How is managing the Thailand team. He is actually our head of syndications. Peter Tang is also highly experienced. He is handling Indonesia in close cooperation with the team in Jakarta.' One of the major problems confronting the teams and our people on the ground is a lack of legal recourse in cases of default; essentially, bankruptcy laws are a vague, grey area. It is not that the legislation does not exist, it is almost unenforceable. US and Kuala Lumpur European colleagues may be surprised, but that's the bottom line in these newly emerged economies. NO RECOURSE 'It's a real hindrance,' confirms Seen Tiat How, 'we have no real legal fallback so you're at a big disadvantage. As far as possible banks will try to achieve a negotiated settlement because there is almost no would be better to keep operations going - in the case of a viable business - and then within maybe five to seven years, you will have some return.' REAL INTEGRITY Among the team members we're talking to is Sophia Kan. All three are able to shrug their shoulders at the foibles of finance in the region. But in Peter Tang - part of Indonesia's work out team Managing the Thailand work out team - Seen Tiat How point taking a defaulter to court.' Peter picks up: 'It's a problem we keep running into. If you take the company to court it might take five to seven years before you get a judgment - if you get one at all. And whatever you recover will probably go to legal fees. Then there's currency depreciation. So rather than trying to bankrupt the guy, it addition to the practical banking perspective of recovering debt, all feel personally more comfortable with a negotiated structure to keep the company going. 'It's a very painful process to see this happening to people who have often worked all their lives to build up something, only to see it collapse,' comments Peter. 'What I find most touching is

Rabobank Bronnenarchief

blad 'What's news' (EN) | 1998 | | pagina 8