Whot's Southeast Asia Crisis call Singapore Supplement for What's NewS April 1998 China HongKong Thailand Philippines The newspapers and business journals are still full of the crisis that has hit the tiger and tiger cub economies of Southeast Asia with brutal force. As reported last year, even though we will not emerge unscathed, Rabobank International as a financial institution has suffered relatively few losses compared to many competitors. But what about the human cost? How is the bank that claims a real customer focus handling the devastation facing many clients? And what are we doing to help? What's NewS went calling on Indonesia and Singapore, talking to our people in Thailand, Malaysia and Hong Kong on the way. Malaysia There are no more traffie jams in Bangkok. The city once famous for vehicular congestion and the concomitant pollution has reverted to reasonable traffie flows as cars had to be sold and the fuel price went up rapidly, as the baht lost its value against the dollar. It was here that the crisis started and it is here that things are starting to stabilize as a new government adheres strictly to austerity policies aimed at reform prompted by aid conditions imposed by the IMF. In mid-March, the Thai prime minister, Chuan Leekpai, on a state visit to the US said he believed the fundamentais in Southeast Asian economies remained strong: 'I believe that eventually all of them will bounce back, although at different paces, in slightly different ways, according to their respective sets of circumstances.' On his own country's collapse, he was frank: 'We created wealth but were perhaps negligent in creating competitiveness. We were successful in our economie performance, so Singapore's Koh Ban Aik - now heading regiottal restructur- ing for customers -Singapore Indonesia Indian ocean much that we did not tackle issues such as bureaucratie inefficiency, lack of transparency, and lack of accountability.' LIQUIDITY CRUNCH While prime minister Chuan is careful to stress the different circumstances prevailing in each of the region's hard hit economies, the issues he notes apply to all. Many of the corporates currently attempting to survive or at least salvage something from the wreckage usually lacked transparency and accountability. Singapore's Koh Ban Aik, our head of corporate finance who now heads up regional efforts to restructure and provide support for ailing customers, says: 'In Thailand there was also a classic mismatch problem. Many Thai corporates had dollar debt and baht income. When the baht hegan to slip, these companies were caught with their pants down. We're still seeing people in a state of totai denial; many have seen their net worth wiped out by the crisis. In addition, there's a liquidity crunch. The domestic banks are powerless to help and Australia foreign banks don't want to further increase their exposure under current market conditions.' DIGESTING PAIN For Malaysia, the situation appears less dramatic, at least superficially. Our own portfolio is in reasonable shape, says Klaas-Evert Engelse of the Kuala Lumpur office. But a recent Asian Development Bank conference indicated Malaysia may be facing a banking crisis caused by massive increases in bad Thailand Malaysia Indonesia

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