IAMA - 2020 GLOBAL VISION FOR F&A WHAT'S NewS Issue 7 July 1997 info exchange 3 A doubling of the world's population by the year 2020 has clear implications for the whole agri and food production and processing chains. Add to this challenging notion the fact that six of the world's largest economies will be located in Asia 20 years into the millennium and it is equally clear why the International Food and Agribusiness Management Association elected to hold its seventh world conference in the region.With our chairman Herman Wijffels as departing IAMA president and our people in Jakarta doing most of the organizing, What's NewS summarizes the main points to emerge from this unique gathering of academie, corporate and, of course, banking specialists. EEN WERELDWIJDE VISIE In Jakarta vond het zevende congres plaats van de 'International Food and Agribusiness Management Association.'Ondanks de relatief jonge geschiedenis van IAMA is haar bereik op internationaal vlak enorm gegroeid. Het thema was: '2020 een wereldwijde visie voor agribusiness en voedsel,'dit met het oog op het feit dat volgens de statistieken tegen het jaar 2020 de wereldbevolking verdubbeld zal zijn. Het was het laatste optreden van Flerman Wijffels als voorzitter van IAMA. In zijn openingsspeech benadrukte hij onder andere de noodzaak natuurlijke hulpbronnen te behouden. Wijffels:'De uitdaging waarvoor wij, de voedselindustrie staan, is ervoor te zorgen dat we de juiste methodes vinden om de productie te verhogen. Maar ook het gebruik van zowel huidige en nieuwe (bio)technologische technieken, alsmede genetische manipulatie moet ethisch verantwoord zijn en veilig voor de consument.' It seems as if Herman Wijffels never tires of pushing home the sustainable development issue. This particular opportunity - a meeting of F&A's top people in a far-ranging forum - was not ^fcpcessarily preaching to the converted. ^Tlnsurprisingly, in an environment where business is business and business means making profit, the concept of sustainable development as a potential profit centre can appear utopian. According to many conference-goers, the investment required to support sustainable business practice in most corporates is so great that only the major multinationals can afford this kind of 'luxury'. MASSIVE PRODUCTIVITY In spite of this very near-future thinking, Wijffels and many of IAMA's members are persistent in their reminders that as the world's population doublés, so will the need for food. And given growth forecasts, populations in Asia will grow taster than in other regions of the world. ^fcrosperity and increasing disposable income in many of the region's high- performing economies will also lead to diversification in consumer behaviours and preferences. All this against a backdrop of stable levels of available arable land. 'This means,' says Wijffels, 'that supplying foodstuffs to growing populations will mean massive productivity increases in which (bio)technology will be crucial.' BACK TO SCHOOL Again unsurprisingly, technology and its bio-cousin played a prominent part in a conference program that tried to squeeze in as much info exchange as possible in two-and-a-half days. Workshops brought together smaller groups for focused discussion, although some of the papers presented by panelists at these sessions could be so scientifically technical or oriented to a specific country that they were inaccessible to some participants. 'Many areas of this business are still dominated by academies,' says professor Ming-Ming Wu of Taiwan's National Chung Hsing University. 'What must happen is the dissemination of this knowledge to the industry as a whole. That's why this kind of forum is so useful.' CARBON LEAKAGE Professor Peter Kenyon of Australia's Curtin Institute of Technology made the kick-off presentation of four scenarios for the global food and fibre sector 2020. This type of study is, in fact, a schoolbook example of how science and business can work together - the study used as basis for this worldwide overview was commissioned by a major Indonesian F&A company. Biotechnology, world trade liberalization, a liberalization backlash in the industrialized world (US, Europe, Japan), and the possible imposition of carbon taxation in response to global warming were the potential scenarios under exploration. 'Our conclusions,' Kenyon says, 'are that the first three will have little impact on continued high economie growth and improving living conditions for the region as a whole. The fourth, environmental taxation, could mean medium-term advantage for Asia through so-called carbon leakage. If OECD countries were to introducé a tax of this kind to combat global warming, as agreed at the Rio de Janeiro conference, then production of fossil-fuel intensive products, like iron and Herman Wijffels and his excellency Professor Sjarifudin Baharsjah, Indonesian Minister of Agriculture.

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