^Improving the paperwork What's NewS Issue 9 September 1996 spend a day 3 There was a time when the mere mention of the paper sector drew frowns all round in the bank.The industry was in trouble, and that meant trouble for the bank. But a new strategy to restore trust in paper has led to careful, selective involvement in this cyclical sector based on a focused approach to the main players. Account manager Frans Cuppen spent a day at KNP BT's Zülpich plant, one of the bank's major paper projects. Committed to paper - Frans Cuppen (second from left and Flans van Imhoff (left). They didn't arrivé empty handed when they went to spend a day with Jan van Elk (second right) of KNP BT's Zülpich recycling plant. 'You may remember we actually got the Deal of the Month with this particular project,' Cuppen says, referring to the recycled paper-board production machine currently being built at KNP BT's Zülpich plant in Germany. 'The transaction itself was quite innovative in that our structured finance people worked with low after-tax interest costs and also enhanced on- balance sheet ratios. But no one from the bank actually went to Zülpich - there was ^kothing to see at that time, and, of course, ^nnance is a rather abstract exercise.' along a rather novel corporate gift. 'We drove down with a truck full of used paper for recycling,' Cuppen grins. 'Recycling is another of those key concepts you associate with the paper industry today. But let me first say something about other forms of raw material. In the primary producing countries, such as Scandinavia, forests are crops grown specifically for the industry. In fact, these are sustainable crops and Scandinavian forests are growing faster than consumption.' CONSUMING GROWTH Although an old hand in the paper industry, Cuppen was fascinated. He has seen at least 10 of these machines in operation. 'The problem with these machines, and that is why, as a banker, you have to be very careful about your involvement, is that they can actually be bad news for the industry as a whole. I've said paper is cyclical. One of the reasons is that the construction of one new machine can destroy the whole market. This is because it can produce so much that even when demand is growing, a single new machine can consume that growth at once. And there's another factor here. In good years for the paper industry, a lot of companies decide to build a new machine. They have to invest to stay on top.' SECTOR STUDY But Cuppen admits that it is these factors that have made him like this industry so much. 'I like it because it's cyclical,' he grins. 'In many industries, there is steady growth, steady profit. Paper is so much more challenging because it is cyclical. And if you choose to step in on the down side of the cycle, then you can earn a lot of money in this sector. But you have to know it, understand it. The board has now asked us to prepare a study on the paper industry so we can teil them more about its future. We're doing that now.' Will it be on recycled paper? Cuppen laughs. 'Well, it certainly won't be on paper produced from the truck-load we took down to Zülpich - that turned out to be the wrong kind for their machines. In the end, we had to drive it back to Utrecht.' So, ultimately, like the industry itself, it came full cycle. RIGHT PLAYERS There is nothing abstract about the paper industry itself; the key word here is cyclical. 'This is why we are totally concentrated on working exclusively with the biggest companies in Europe, like KNP BT,' Cuppen says. 'There is a struggle ongoing in the industry, we're seeing a lot of mergers. The smaller companies will certainly disappear. Only the majors will survive. Our task is to ensure that even though the sector is cyclical, our now relatively extensive portfolio is safe because we have selected the right players.' SUSTAINABLE CROPS ^NP BT is clearly among these 'right' players. And this is one reason why Cuppen and his colleague, Hans van Imhoff, were more than willing to 'spend a day' at the Zülpich plant. And they took CONSUMER DEMAND According to Cuppen, consumer behaviour has had a profound effect on the paper industry. 'Consumers today demand that paper be made from sustainable crops and be free of chlorine. A lot of consumers also prefer recycled paper. Manufacturers have responded to this changed behaviour and increased awareness in a radical way.' Which brings us neatly to the Zülpich plant. 'When we went down there, I think we expected a brief visit. But the people there were really pleased to see us. They spent four hours showing us the plant and explaining what each machine did and how the technical side worked. One of the amazing things about the new machine was that we could actually see all of it and because it wasn't yet operative, we could actually hear the explanation of what it will do when it starts production in September.' SPEND A DAY- MEER DAN OUD PAPIER Frans Cuppen en Hans van Imhoff bezochten in het kader van het 'Spend a day'concept de vestiging van hun klant KNP BT in Zülpich (BRD) om de nieuwe, door onze bank gefinancierde papiermachine aan het werk te zien. KNP BT is een van de grote spelers op de papier- markt. Deze markt, die zeer cyclisch is, wordt gekenmerkt door fusies en overnames. Alleen de grote spelers zullen uiteindelijk overleven. Rabobank

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